cjzydeco
(Weather Guru)
Sat Jul 09 2005 01:31 PM
Re: Dennis' future movement

Quote:

A STORM SURGE OF
8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY.

Is the NHC tipping its hat? Do they expect a landfall in the big bend region of FL now? If so, that will probably mean a little worse weather for us folks on the west coast.




The northeastern quadrant of a hurricane is usually considered worst side to be on because it is the location of the greatest onshore winds. The strom surge is usually much greater on the eastern side of the hurricane because winds are blowing onshore, pushing the ocean waters in front of it. On the western side, the predominant wind direction is offshore, and does not create as much storm surge. The path may have changed a bit, but I don't think the NHC is "tipping its hat" about landfall as much as informing those on the northeastern side of the landfall area to be ready for the expected surge.



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