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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KMOB.shtml HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 254 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005 ...HURRICANE DENNIS MADE LANDFALL BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE FLORIDA...CLOSEST TO ORIOLE BEACH FLORIDA... ..EXTREME WIND DAMAGE...FLOODING AND ISOLATED TORNADOES A CERTAINTY AFTER LANDFALL... ...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS... ...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... ...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE OUR LAST HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT. FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 1100 PM THIS EVENING. BALDWIN...MOBILE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE NOT IN THE TORNADO WATCH. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 245 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED AT 30.4 NORTH LATITUDE...87.1 WEST LONGITUDE...OR NEAR ORIOLE BEACH FLORIDA. DENNIS WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM BOTH EGLIN AIR FORCE BASE AND MOBILE ALABAMA SHOW 125 TO 135 MPH WINDS BETWEEN 5000 AND 7000 FEET OFF OF THE GROUND...WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF DENNIS OVER THE LANDFALL LOCATION. A PORTABLE WEATHER OBSERVATION STATION NEAR NAVARRE MEASURED A 121 MPH WIND GUST AT 211 PM CDT. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE THAT DENNIS IS LIKELY A CATEGORY THREE STORM...AND POSSIBLY A CATEGORY 4 STORM. WE WILL KNOW MORE AS MORE OBSERVATIONS BECOME AVAILABLE. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL STILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE REGION THROUGH 2 PM CDT. STORM SURGE VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET ARE EXPECTED AROUND AND ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF DENNIS'S CENTER. THE GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD OVER ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY EAST BAY. RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS ARE IN STORE THROUGH 5 PM CDT OVER ESCAMBIA BAY AS DENNIS APPROACHES. BE PREPARED! TIDE LEVELS IN MOBILE BAY ARE GENERALLY LESS THAN 4 FEET DUE TO OFFSHORE WINDS AS DENNIS. SOME PILING OF WATER ON THE BAY SIDES OF BOTH THE FORT MORGAN PENINSULA AND DAUPHIN ISLAND ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE INCREASING NORTHEAST WIND FLOW. STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE AT THESE LOCATIONS. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA BY NOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WOULD RESULT IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. THESE WILL SPREAD INLAND BY 6 PM CDT. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR AROUND AND ESPECIALLY EAST OF DENNIS' CENTER. AFTER LANDFALL ...THE CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BALDWIN...CLARKE...CHOCTAW....ESCAMBIA AND MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COUNTIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST AS UPDATES OCCUR. EXTENSIVE TO EXTREME TORNADO-LIKE WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE AROUND...AND ESPECIALLY JUST TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST OF DENNIS' EYE AS IT MOVES INLAND. ...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS... STAY OUT OF THE WATER. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY! RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN CONCRETE SURFACES. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING... REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN. LATEST RAINFALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RIVER FLOODING COULD BE WORSE THAN IVAN OF 2004...BUT NOT AS SEVERE AS HURRICANE GEORGES OF 1998. AREA RIVERS WILL GO INTO FLOOD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING MIDWEEK. THE RIVER FLOODING IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK OF DENNIS. ...TORNADO THREAT...USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT OF HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL OCCUR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS DENNIS PLOWS INLAND. TORNADO WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE IMMINENT THREAT. ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE DENNIS MADE LANDFALL BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE FLORIDA...CLOSEST TO ORIOLE BEACH FLORIDA. HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 300 PM CDT...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED. |