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As far as TD#5/Emily's track is concerned, I'm not going outside the projected cone for right now. It does appear that it may make a trek across Haiti...which might just rip it to shreds, but other than that, I'm not forecasting any landfall points in the United States.
Reading that sparked my memory of last year. I remember thinking the same thing about one of the eventually named storms. Looking at the '04 tracks I think it might have been Frances. The location is pretty similar, though the weather patterns aren't setup exactly the same.
It was Hurricane Jeanne who had a fight with Haiti. Wobbled Northward who everyone thought is kaput but later regained her composure made a loop-de-loop and landfalled where Frances landfalled.
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