My orginal thoughts don't seem too far out about a storm shooting westward around the poleward axis of the subtropical ridge. The caribbean seems to be clearing of any pre-existing shear, and with a building gulf ridge I doubt this storm will make any form of recurvature. Though I am entitled to my doubts by CFHC. SST'S are nice and warm especially in by the Yucatan channel though there is some slightly cooler water by the ABC islands, but I don't think Emily will stay that close to south america. Once past the leeward islands intensification looks good.