Funny as I thought the mets here went too much with the NHC at times, but in watching the board for over a year, and posting for less than a month, I have been suitably impressed by Clark and most of the others.... Ralph's tensions would more appropriately directed at Bastardi (who might as well be predicting landfall in North Dakota) and at TWC mets (who I believe blindly follow NHC and really do a poor job of thinking on their own. Ex: Charley even when the images were in front of them).

Clark and the other mets here give very valuable opinions and when appropriate alternative theory... and as for the models, I think if you look not just at this year, but over time, you'll find the models all do well under certain situations and poorly under others.. there is NO model that works ALL the time.