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Looks like he has been reading the same RECON info I have. Hank, two of the models are up at the FSU site. Canadian model taking Emily near Jamaica, knocking her spin down a notch and then to a course over the Southern Yucatan Peninsula, after knocking the rest of the spin out of her. Final course is a la Bret...somewhere on the SW GOM coast, Tampico area. Above notes based on the 850mb level vorticity product. ************************************************************************** The UKMET model is quite a bit more aggressive with Emily. UKMET is indicating a Hurricane entering the GOM at the Yucatan Channel around Sunday morning, around daybreak. Taking her to a landfall near the TX/ MX border sometime on Tuesday. UKMET notes based on the 500mb level vorticity product. A dip in the 500mb jetstream, into N MS and N AL at +132hrs could have some influence on the landfall location. Above models change every 6 to 12 hours and are subject to large changes. Please consult the NHC Official Advisories for the Current and forecast Tracks. |