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Quote: From the latest Atlantic Tropical Wx Discussion... HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 42W S OF 22N WITH A 1011 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 16N MOVING W 15 KT. THE LOW IS BETTER-DEFINED THAN YESTERDAY WITH HINTS OF BANDING BEGINNING TO FORM IN THE N SEMICIRCLE. CONVECTIVE REMAINS MODERATE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 39W-42W. A LARGE TROUGH SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGES ALONG 50W SHOULD INDUCE A MORE POLEWARD MOTION TO THE LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS AREA COULD BECOME THE NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT TREKS OVER THE OPEN OCEAN... THOUGH UPPER WINDS ARE MARGINAL. |