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With the speed of this system and the current dynamics, I see an almost virtual certainty that the system will not turn towards Florida. My concern would be from Galveston down into Mexico. Texas could be in big danger if Emily misses the Yucatan. However, I think the Yucatan is in for a pretty big hit. This storm, like Dennis, is right in the NHC's wheelhouse. Well defined steering pattern, good storm structure. Absolutely no reason to doubt their forecast on this system. |