Taking into consideration I don't know anything about meteorlogy and I understand that there are many factors which interact in a complex way...

doesn't it seem that with the very last satellite pic (19:15 UTC) Emily's core is looking a lot better? Isn't the outer part of the storm what you call the outflow (which can be seen mostly to the N and E at the moment. Is it possible that the core of the storm could slough the outer edges of this part off, and the storm could become more compact again?

Taking into acct the NHC forecast, it seems probable once Emily gets just a little further north and away from S. Amer, and into the warmer part of the Caribbean to the west, that it could intensify. Going on what was discussed this am, if it compacts in size it could intensify more than forecast at the moment.