Clark
(Meteorologist)
Sat Jul 16 2005 08:53 AM
Re: 5 AM NHC Discussion-edited

Here we go again...recon reports pressure is down to 944mb and winds up to 145mph. Emily's now a midrange category 4 hurricane with an outside shot of further strengthening before the next eyewall replacement cycle.

It should be noted that shear tendencies to the west of the storm are highly negative, i.e. the storm is entering an increasingy favorable region as it moves along relative to what that area was looking like just a day ago. As seen yesterday, convection on the north and east sides of the storm is being enhanced by very favorable divergent upper-level winds. Outflow to the south and west is a little pinched, but it certainly isn't stopping the storm from deepening.

Ed has more in the met blogs...



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