Margie
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sat Jul 16 2005 11:16 PM
Re: Update from Grand Cayman

Quote:

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155.5 mph... that doesn't count?




Intensity a function of both pressure and wind speed - pressure is officially 930. Also deepening has stopped, evening has come, and an ERC might be starting. It is more probable that intensity will now fluctuate downward until after the reorg that will come after an ERC (if one occurs). That might be happening tomorrow when the storm will be going over warm waters again and have the heat from the sun. More likely to see a Cat 5 tomorrow afternoon or evening rather than tonight.

One thing though, it seems that in these warm tropical waters it is possible to have just as much strengthening in the nighttime as in the daytime. So maybe time of day is not such a factor at this type of location.



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