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Checking the 5 AM Strike Probabilities. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT5+shtml/170840.shtml NHC has added New Iberia, LA., back into the group. This is probably in response to a model showing a northward trend. New Iberia, LA had been removed from the 11 PM Strike Probs. last night. Port Arthur, TX gained 1 point in the 5 AM Probs. Also noted, again probably due to model trends doing their 6 hour swing, were drops in the Total Probability for: Galveston, TX -1 point Freeport, TX -2 points Port O' Conner, TX -3 points Corpus Christi, TX -4 points Brownsville, TX -4points These reflect the 5 AM Advisory only. Please refer to Official NHC Advisories and Strike Probabilities. As they change, to some degree, every 6 hours. If you are In, or Near the 'cone' of certainty. Please make preparations for a landfalling Tropical Cyclone. As of the 5 AM Update. The Cone extends from the Corpus Christi area, South to below Tampico, Mexico. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/085921.shtml?3day?large |