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You know if Frankline was about 100 miles more or less to its sw maybe near 77w and 27N right now,, i would probably favor the Bamn model. The trough axis is about 78W right now and the northern part is moving rapidly E. Franklin is just barely ahead of it but the trough should bypass him. Thing is is Frankin too far east for the ridge over the Plains to capture him tomorrow? In the meantime another shortwave trough will ride the ridge and dropdown early-mid next week. Will Franklin Sunday afternoon thru Monday stay west of 72N? or meander SSE-SSW? There are questions but right now we have to stay on the original thinking he will catch the 2nd trough near 70W and 31N and get pushed NE during the middle of next week. |