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Attack of trolls? Anyway, looks like if Clark's got the center right, there's almost an eastward movement at this point per setup. It's still not out of the realm of possibility that Franklin could either be decoupled (heh) or trapped.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-wv-loop.html

Vigorous upper level low immediately to the west providing a bit of southerly shear on the west side of the system.

91L's running out of room, but it managed some broad surface cyclonic turning. I'm not sure if it will make it to TD status before landfall which is probably only 18-24 hours away in extreme SE Mexico.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html

Steve

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The next star wars movie anywho, Franklin may have some decoupling going on per the BAMM later today when the the axis of the trof nears. Climatology does argue that most if not all systems that form with 50 nm's of Franklin makle Landfall on CONUS. So maybe it's on to something. Speaking of the BAM models, do they take into account climatology and persistence?