It is worth noting that the center of TD 7 that the NHC is tracking is just along the northern shores of the Mexican coastline in the southern Bay of Campeche, currently lacking convection -- and not the larger cloud mass to the north and west. The whole region is an area of broad cyclonic turning, but they are tracking a center just along shore at this time. As the storm organizes, expect all of this to consolidate into a better defined system.

More tonight or tomorrow...