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From NHC TAFB: CENTRAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 32W/33W S OF 22N MOVING W 15-20 KT WITH A 1014 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. THE LAST VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SHOWED A LARGE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE WITH NO WELL-DEFINED CENTER. A RECENT QUIKSCAT CONFIRMS THE LOCATION OF THE LOW THOUGH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FEATURE ARE LESS THAN 20 KT. THERE IS A BIT OF DRY AIR ENTRAINED INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE WAVE THAT IS PROBABLY INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AS ANY TSTMS HAVE BEEN WEAK AND SHORT-LIVED. HOWEVER CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING A LITTLE TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 33W-40W. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN LOW AS THE WAVE MOVES WESTWARD AND THE WAVE MAY HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER IT ENTERS WARMER WATERS W OF 40W. |