>>Well guess since JB couldn't get a direct hit on New Orleans guess he would try his luck somewhere else hummmmm like up the East coast?

New Orleans was never a direct target. Despite the mouth of the River call for Dennis, we're probably as close to Gulfport and Biloxi as we are to the mouth of the River. The Louisiana zone was only progged to 13 points, and we have already scored 6 or 7 on his scale (having either 2 tropical storms or 1 tropical storm and 1 cane depending on how one views Cindy - the damage was Cat 1). His highest impact to start the season was AL/MS/NWFL which sustained 2 hits - Cat 3 and strong Tropical Storm - as well as additional likely TD conditions from Cindy. FWIW, his new video still shows 6 points for the LA zone for the year. And that adds up to either effects from 3 tropical storms or a Cat 1 and a TS. We'll see.

But you bring up a good point. That 28 points for the Carolina zone is absurd. A landfalling Cat 4 scores 32 points, and he's giving it cumulative 28. Thats' a lot of tropical action and BIG action at that (even if some of those points are scored via a system coming up from the Gulf and across the Southeast).

I was amazed that he was willing to up his intensity scale beyond last year's total which was nearly a fluke in itself. He's going out on a pretty big limb even if the setup for the rest of the season would lead one to believe that the US Coast is a target. We absorbed many landfalls last year - some pretty strong ones too - so we'll see as time marches on.

Steve