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Thanks Ron, didn't see that. That's what I get for being a novice Found this interesting EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 143 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2005 VALID 12Z SUN JUL 31 2005 - 12Z THU AUG 04 2005 SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE PD... AS FOR THE TROPICAL FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THRU THE BAHAMAS...WITH RIDGING BUILDING TO ITS NORTH AHEAD OF THE EVER-WEAKER TROUGH PROGRESSING THRU CNTRL CAN AND A DVLPG WEAKNESS IN THE UPR PATTERN IN THE CNTRL/WRN GULF OF MEXICO...IT IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY THAT IF THERE WAS AN ORGANIZED TC...THAT IT WOULD RETROGRADE INTO FL OR THE SOUTHEAST US SOMETIME BETWEEN AUG 3-5. MOST OF THE GUIDANCE NOW TAKES THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE FL STRAITS THE 12Z UKMET WAS THE FARTHEST NE... LEAVING THE SYSTEM JUST NE OF THE BAHAMAS. MADE SLIGHT CHANGES IN THAT DIRECTION FROM CONTINUITY PER COORDINATION W/TPC...WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE 12Z ECMWF. |