Big Red Machine -- no idea. It could pull a Georges and hit every island, it could recurve harmless out to sea, or it could affect anywhere in between. It's too early to tell. Models suggest a more westward motion, but any impact to the US is over 5 days away.

LONNY -- yeah, they do, but speeds change with the evolution of the system and the midlatitude regime. Tropical systems moving fast trend faster than the guidance; those moving slow tend slower than the guidance...however, there is no hard & set guideline to that effect, as each storm is different.