|
|
|||||||
Part of the AFD from Tally.... .LONG TERM (MON-THU)... THE 06 UTC GFS AND 00 UTC ECMWF ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN TAKING THE DEEP LAYER TROUGH AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE OVER OUR AREA NORTHWARD AND WEAKENING IT, AS A DEEP LAYER RIDGE BUILDS OVER OUR AREA. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN POPS RETURNING TO CLIMATOLOGY (WHICH IS ABOUT 40 PERCENT FROM 12 TO 24 UTC THIS TIME OF YEAR), AND NEAR- AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY 550 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL INTENSIFY AND HAVE SOME IMPACT ON OUR AREA LATE NEXT WEEK, BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL SINCE IT COULD TURN NORTHWARD EAST OF FLORIDA IF THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE DOES NOT BUILD AS STRONGLY AS SUGGESTED BY THE GFS. Interesting... |