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Steve H1 -- it's certainly something that could complicate things. The models differ on how fast they move the feature out to the NW (and then weakening it and shuttling the remainder of the energy associated with the feature out in the midlatitudes), with the GFS doing so rather rapidly and the NOGAPS doing so much more slowly. It is far enough away right now to potentially be enhancing the convection on the north side of the feature (via diffluent flow at upper levels), but not so far away (or moving such) to keep form playing a role. How it evolves may determine how rapidly, if at all, 92L gets going. |