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Yeah, the TWO also mentioned it, but it would have to slow considerably if it wants a window of development. 12Z GFS still shows no development in the tropics, at least in the short term (only out to 96 right now), and shows no ridge to speak in the east. It does show troughiness along the east coast due to frontal sag, but it keeps the trough there way too long IMO. 92L will have to develop under moderate sheaar until the ULL moves SW away from it. I don't agee with JB and his idea of it getting into the GOM through the straits. That would really surprise me. Now it could get into the GOM, but probably by going through the peninsula. Tropics are interesting but nothing besides Franklin is there yet. Dunno what to make of it all, but things could change in a hurry. Cheers!! |