slightly different take on 93L. visibles and sfc obs have me thinking the center of the broad low is a little south of barbados. thats a little south of where most of the convection has been going off. a lot of that has blown off to the w and nw... a low level gyre is visible now that they're sliding away. the end effect isn't much different than what scott was alluding to, though. there does seem to be a low there, but it's weak.
92L's emphasis has shifted to what was the northeastern part of the disturbance... the convective blow up which has consistently been stuck behind and poleward of where the low had been trying to form. now it's the only game in town as the part over the islands has pretty much quit. ridging is still trying to nudge in over this thing.. the upper low to the west is slowly sliding wsw... and if the trough associated with it starts to pinch off it should become more of an aid than an impediment. not sure if there's enough mid-level ridge to keep it moving west... lot of the models are turning it up as a shortwave is forecast to dig in for a spell mid-week off the east coast. really not sure.. it might keep trudging west, too. the upper air environment should slowly improve.. eventually. we've been expecting that for days, but that upper low has been persistent.
the gulf and central atlantic features don't seem to be doing much. disturbed weather keeps persisting near the nc coast, but that's up and out if it ever closes off.. and wouldn't be very substantial.
HF 2020z31july