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Agreed...and that's why the NHC forecast is pretty conservative on motion and track right now, too. It keeps it largely moving WNW, then between WNW and NW, through 5 days while maintaining the intensity at minimal hurricane strength beyond 3 days, as they often do. My only concern is on intensity...the waters NE & N of the islands have some of the highest heat content in the basin. Once it touches those, the intensity could perk up there -- assuming favorable upper-level conditions. We have plenty of time to watch for that, however. |