Steve H1
(Storm Tracker)
Fri Aug 05 2005 08:06 AM
Re: Irene?

Actually quite shocked at where 95L is at the moment. Quite far north and heading to the NW ! GFS at 6z dissipates it. NOGAPS does also. GFDL may have the best handle on it, as it keeps it alive as a TS, and seems to have initialized it well, showing pretty much the movement that early visible pix show. Let's see what evolves, but Stewart is pretty much on, saying it is heading for a weakness in the ridge caused by an ULL, but that will go away and fill with time, allowing a westward motion after a couple of days. Watch the models flip-flop like fish on the deck Cheers!!


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