(Storm Tracker)

Fri Aug 05 2005 10:44 AM

Re: GFS and UKMet Runs

NHC confirming TD9's lack in organization at 11am in their discussion.

"How little we know about the genesis of tropical cyclones. Satellite
images during the day yesterday showed a distinct disturbance in the
deep tropics with all known factors apparently favorable for the
system to become a tropical storm. Surprisingly this
morning...visible images indicate that the system has become
disorganized"

Some drastic changes have been made to the forecast track and intensity as you will see.

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