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CaneTracker -- it's more a case, I think, of it coming back into line with the previous 6 or so model runs than changing to something new. The 12z run was quite different from the others in suggesting that northward movement late in the period...though it has done well with this storm for the past 6-8 runs now. It was too strong early, but picked up on a move northward and then turn west with a weak storm...not too bad. We'll have to see how it does from here on out. |