Good morning all,

Just a few random thoughts as we look at the tropics this monring...lets start with soon-to-be extratropical Harvey...it was a longshot at best, but TS Harvey never did make it to hurricane strength, topping out at 65 MPH for a time...he was never much of a threat (thankfully), only dumping some copious rain on bermuda with some strong gusts, but nothing of note. He should remain a tropical entity for another 24 to 48 hours before dissipating in the north atlantic. as of the 5:00 am, Harvey was located at 33.37N/56.6W tracking to the NNE at 7 mph; winds 50 mph with gusts to 65 mph...a threat, if you can even call him that, only to shipping interests. Harvey

TD9: this system has gotten its act a little bit more together overnight...as of 5:00, TD9 was located at 17.7N/41.7W with winds of 35 mph and gusts of 50 mph, moving WNW at a fairly quick 15 mph. TD9 is not expected to reach TS status today, as it is still experiencing some shear. Slow strengthening is expected, and we could have Irene by Sunday. the trailer wave may impact future Irene by sending her on a more southerly track... TD 9

i'd be remiss if i didn't mention the system still spinning up in the gulf, between mississippi and alabama...the system is starting to get a little better organized, although the models do not develop this, and some are keeping the center of circulation on shore...at any rate, this will keep the area very wet and tropical for the weekend...it should be watched, but again, development into a depression is not expected...upper level winds are not conducive to development

HanKFranK mentioned the area to the east of the Bahamas...development here is not expected, but it does merit a bear watch, as does an area of disturbed weather near southern mexico, although this activity is expected to track west and overland.

what to make of the wave behind TD 9? at this point, it's simply a waiting game ("we'll just have to wait and see"). at this time of year, there is always the potential for development and the african wave train is up and cranking.

That's about all we have for now. Everybody have a safe weekend.