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Actually here's the latest from NHC (11:30 am TWO) on both near home systems. A WEAK SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NON-TROPICAL UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE...BUT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ANOTHER WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS GENERATING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SOUTHEASTWARD FOR A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AND INLAND BEFORE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT CAN OCCUR. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE AVAILABLE TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM TOMORROW MORNING...IF NECESSARY. On the GOM system, my earlier post indicated that it might be sub-tropical. These are hybrid systems that incorporate elements of both mid-latitude and tropical lows, mainly asymmetrical shape with most of their weather on their east side. They can, and have in the past, created tropical storm force-like conditions. |