Seems NHC wanted to upgrade to Irene real bad...they jumped the gun...looks like an open wave right now, even though there is a small circulation center.A lot of times they would ignore a quiksat like that...I think the upgrade was an error- premature in any case. Still think it is a goner.

Yep, it appears to be a fishspinner, almost any way you look at it.

Looking at the basin wide pic this morning, looks more like (a normal) JUNE..ugh! There is a disturbance N of Panama that looks to be moving NNW, but there is a LOT of shear north of it.

There are so many upper lows and so much shear...sure doesn't look like August. Ironic.

This will change with time, and agree with others that the season is likely (at least until September) to have 'bursts' of storms.

My 2 cents.

MM