Ron Basso
(Storm Tracker)
Tue Aug 09 2005 10:43 AM
Re: comments on the day

Definitely better organized with convection over center and some slight banding features appearing. Still looks a little asymmetrical and the center looks to be on the west side of the CDO. Probably upgraded to a weak tropical storm today. I don't see any rapid deepening since there is still light northerly shear and a relatively dry atmosphere. Plenty warm SSTs though. On the track, if she gets stronger, than it'll probably follow the globals (UKMET & NOGAPS) which initialized her as a storm today. If she stays a weak TS, then the BAM solutions may be a better track. While she has been weak the last 2 days, the BAM models have outperformed the globals.



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html



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