Ron Basso
(Storm Tracker)
Tue Aug 09 2005 02:38 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Irene Forms from TD#9, No Threat to Land

Latest from HPC:

E COAST INTERESTS SHUD KEEP AN EYE ON T.D. IRENE IN THE ATL.
WHILE THE PREFERRED 06Z GFS DISSIPATES THE SYS BY THE MEDR
PD...THE ECMWF...NOGAPS...AND UKMET CARRY THE SYS ALONG THE SWRN
SIDE OF THE SUBTROP RIDGE IN THE MEDR...WITH THE 12Z NOGAPS
ALLOWING THE SYS TO APPROACH THE MID ATL COAST BY THE END OF ITS
RUN ON DAY 6/MON. NOON COORD LED TO A SLOW NWLY TRACK AROUND THE
SWRN EDGE OF THE RIDGE...BUT AS UNCERTAINTY IS GROWING IN THE
AMPLITUDE AND TIMING OF THE H5 PATTERN OVER WRN NA BY MID PD...IT
ALSO GROWS ON THE E COAST. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS ON IRENE FOR
THE OFFICIAL THINKING ON ITS FORECAST TRACK.