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Latest from HPC: E COAST INTERESTS SHUD KEEP AN EYE ON T.D. IRENE IN THE ATL. WHILE THE PREFERRED 06Z GFS DISSIPATES THE SYS BY THE MEDR PD...THE ECMWF...NOGAPS...AND UKMET CARRY THE SYS ALONG THE SWRN SIDE OF THE SUBTROP RIDGE IN THE MEDR...WITH THE 12Z NOGAPS ALLOWING THE SYS TO APPROACH THE MID ATL COAST BY THE END OF ITS RUN ON DAY 6/MON. NOON COORD LED TO A SLOW NWLY TRACK AROUND THE SWRN EDGE OF THE RIDGE...BUT AS UNCERTAINTY IS GROWING IN THE AMPLITUDE AND TIMING OF THE H5 PATTERN OVER WRN NA BY MID PD...IT ALSO GROWS ON THE E COAST. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS ON IRENE FOR THE OFFICIAL THINKING ON ITS FORECAST TRACK. |