JG
(Weather Hobbyist)
Tue Aug 09 2005 10:10 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Irene Forms from TD#9, No Threat to Land

Quote:

Well lookey dehhh...

All those nay sayers about a East Coast storm look to be wrong thus far.

Remember the phrase: Trend is our friend.

The models CONTINUE to trend to the south and west. Not only that, but, some of the models hint at the storm moving towards complete west and some SSW after day 4 or 5! This has to be given into consideration since half of the meteorologists out there have SWORE that this thing would have recurved by now.

I'm sorry, but the majority of the models for this storm have been useless.

Now that only one or two models actually have it recurving anymore, lets see how many mets say "its still going to curve out."

Should be interesting.




I'd rather it not be interesting. I remember my trip to Homestead in 1992. Your comment about the models not catching this storm is what concerns me. I hope it misses the U.S. but the patterns indicate, IMHO, that this storm is destined to impact the East Coast somewhere. The last model runs show more and more of a W to WSW curve as the high intensifies. I guess we'll see if there's a recon set up in the next 72 hours to give us all a clue.....



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