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Are other models besides the tropical models (BAMM/D, LBAR, A98E) trending north? If not, then the northern trend in those models may be more a function of them not "seeing" the ridge as well as other (and generally more reliable) models are. Don't rely only on the tropical models. Or only on any one model, for that matter. Or only on one run of/change in the models. Etc., etc. |