Looks alot like September 1999 all over again, cept Hurricane Floyd was alot closer, but I remember Tropical Storm force winds here in Philly..Believe me that wasn't fun walking in going to school(They clsoe the schools by 11am..idiots)

http://www.atmos.umd.edu/~stevenb/hurr/99/floyd/floyd_v2.gif

This one looks alot like, going by some of the models, a direct hit to Southern New Jersey/Delaware or a swipe out to sea, either way, Philly and New York should expect to feel sometype of tropical winds if it actually follows anything near these tracks, even the North Carolina track.

Funny thing is before the season started, they were talknig of a Jersey shore hit was high...since it has been 102 years since that happen in Atlantic City.