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my earlier post #47471 .......well nice to know i was in the ball park.... from the TCDAT4 5m dics. AN UPPER-LOW TO THE SOUTH OF IRENE HAS BEEN ADVECTING DRY MID-LEVEL INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CYCLONE TODAY ...WHICH HAS CAUSED THE CONVECTION TO ERODE AND WEAKEN AT TIMES. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW HAS BEEN WEAKENING AND THAT THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL FLOW IS GRADUALLY BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY. the west side of irene is now looking better....great outflow...(stronger storm later on) take a look at wv |