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The last I saw the recons we scheduled for late tomorrow afternoon. Don't know if that has changed. I did notice the following when I checked on our point forcast from NOAA this afternoon...... LONG TERM (SAT NIGHT-THU)...EXTENDED MODELS HAVE COME MORE IN LINE WITH A MORE TYPICAL LATE SUMMER PATTERN. WEAK UPPER RIDGING TO HOLD OVER THE REGION THRU THE PERIOD WHILE SERIES OF SOMEWHAT WEAK VORT MAXES ROTATE IN THE OVERALL FLOW. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...BERMUDA HIGH...TO RIDGE ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AS WELL. THESE FEATURES TO CREATE MAINLY EASTERLY FLOW AND GENERATE MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION ALONG SEA BREEZES AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. These guys (our point forecast) are pretty much on the money. (I know they were last year - I depended on them a lot - didn't know about this forum then) I don't know exactly when or how strong they are depending on the ridge (Bermuda High) to be across Florida - but it could make a big difference. Sorry for the long post. Dotty |