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Looking at IR SAT, it looks like the LLC of Irene is displaced from the mid level center. It appears the LLC is on the west side of the cloud mass and the MLC is displaced to the NE. If this the case, I don't see any rapid strengthening. It also looks like the LLC is moving W-NW, somewhere between 280-300 deg. I'm wondering if its possible that the MLC separates from the LLC, with the LLC moving W-SW and the MLC moving off to the N-NW. Maybe this is what GFS model is picking up. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html |