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Heres a look at the current model output on Irene along with model performance numbers for just about every hurricane model. http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL092005_perf.html My overall thinking hasn't changed much and agree with the NHC forecast for now, even though there has been some swing in guidance to the west in the 72-120 hour timeframe, rather wait and see what future trends hold considering each day they have gone back and forth. |