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Agree Ed. The first few frames of the Vis SAT seem to show the LLC of Irene toward the south end of deep convection. It still appears that the MLC is northeast of the LLC, although overall appearance is better than yesterday. I also noticed during the last frames that she appears to be moving more westerly than NW and perhaps slowing a little. It's really difficult to tell - we need the recon out there for some information. I find it curious now that the latest 00Z runs of UKMET, GFS, & CMC all dissipate the storm as the ridge strongly builds over and to the north of Irene. Now, only the NOGAPs shows the storm surviving and moving N-NW, but then stalling it off New England at the end of 5 days. |