What Joe Bastardi was saying, that he believes that Irene will get trapped from the ridge building to the East and weakness to the West, and will try to go for the weakness, which puts Irene in a place of no where to go but towards the coast. But where. My thinking is this, given the weakness and the very warm waters out of ahead of Irene, she pushes towards the WNW with a hint of a Northerly track after she gets through the ridge and gets trapped. In the long run, it will be a long weekend for the NHC and all of the forecastors up and down the EC say from NC up to LI.