AgentB
(Weather Guru)
Fri Aug 12 2005 11:26 AM
Re: It's all what the ridge and the Cold front do

Over the past 24hrs Irene has moved 3.2deg north and 3.6deg west. Pretty close to a NW movement, and right on for the NHC's call of WNW. True, she did move about twice as many degrees west as she did north in the last 6hrs(.7N/1.4W), but we all know how these storms like to make jogs and wobbles. Plus, like the NHC has stated a few times, it's been difficult to pinpoint the exact center of circulation, which in turn can throw off forecast tracks a bit. One thing I did notice is that Irene is looking better on the vis. sat. She doesn't seem to be as elongated as before, and seems to be tightening up her shape. It will be interesting to see what recon comes back with.


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