Scott I would love to agree with you. I've looked at every water vapor I can find and in the last six hours or so that ridge has grown strong and is very horizontal, Irene is way tucked under it and I don't see any weakness currently.

Know there is one forecast but she is moving just below what seems to be a strengthening ridge.

Maybe when the Gulfstream Jet gets some good hard data on the strength of the high we will know more later this afternoon.