Something interesting in the 11 am NHC package: Jacksonville shows up on the probability table with a small (I think 2%) chance of the eye passing within 65 nm within 72 hours. However, in the experimental wind probability product, Jacksonville is not listed with regards to any winds - 34 kt or higher.
This doesn't mean much, because the 2% odds of a 65 nm "brush" might not translate into a 2% chance of getting 34 kt winds, or the two products might be based on different computer output. But I find it interesting and wonder which of those two possibilities, or if something else, accounts for that.
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