1012 MB LOW HAS DEVELOPED FROM THE TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY
ALONG 39W. THE BROAD CENTER OF THE LOW IS NEAR 11N41W AND IS
MOVING WNW 10-15. THIS IS A COMPLEX DISTURBANCE WITH A LOW/MID-
LEVEL CENTER SEEN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE NEAR 12N42W WITH ANOTHER
LOBE OF ENERGY ROTATING AROUND THE E SIDE NEAR 12N39W. SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A LARGE CLOSED CIRCULATION WITH BUOYS
REPORTING WINDS OF 20-25 KT. THE LOW HAS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM WATER NEAR 83F... LIGHT
SHEAR... AND IT SEEMS TO BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO AVOID
SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS. THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE
OF BANDING THOUGH CONVECTION HAS FADED A BIT THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 40W-45W.

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