I notice that the BAMM and BAMD models have the storm starting to recurve in the extended period. Given what Ed is mentioning about the system stalling, I'm wondering if the idea of recurving might not be as far fetched as it seems based on the track given by GFS, GFDL, UKMET, and NOGAPS.

It will be interesting to watch the system over the next couple of days. So far I think Irene hasn't conformed to the model concensus and seems to like picking an outlier. It might do it again, or even ignore the outlier and do it's own thing. That wouldn't surprise me one bit.

--RC