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Yes, it probably is a Tropical Depression. It is fighting a little dry air intrusion, however outflow has improved significantly in the west quadrant. Banding is evident and at 13/15Z a circulation center was located at 13.7N 44.7W. Movement was to the west northwest - slowly. Winds close to 30 knots and pressure about 1008mb. I'd expect the system to move to the west northwest (and eventually northwest as it intensifies) over the next few days. The Islands are probably okay (with emphasis on the 'probably'). Cheers, ED |