Kevin
(Weather Master)
Sat Aug 13 2005 09:50 PM
Re: Could we have a trend here?

A more westerly curve towards the end of the forecast period is definitely an option on the table. And there is some model support for tihs as well.

But, given the pattern that has rejected every storm even near the EC this year, I'll wait a while before I put my eggs in the westward turn basket.

EDIT: Another interesting thing I just noticed...the NAO is forecasted to go positive for the second half of this month.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.html

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/new.nao_index_ensm.html

A positive NAO would potentially favor a stronger ridge of high pressure over the western Atlantic...possibly allowing CV storms (and storms anywhere, for that matter) a greater chance at U.S. landfall.



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