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because a strong ridge will develop and turn jose west. look at discussion at 5 on td 10. strong systems coming off africa. and some behind still over africa. Correct Quote~danielw ...MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST THE DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEPRESSION. THIS PATTERN WOULD STEER THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS WITH A POSSIBILITY OF A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST THERAFTER...AS A WEAK RIDGE DEVELOPS TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE... http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/132019.shtml? |