stormchazer
(Storm Tracker)
Sun Aug 14 2005 03:45 AM
Re: Caribbean Waves

Quote:

WHILE WIND REPORTS FROM NOAA
BUOY 41041 AND A 13/2349Z SSMI OVERPASS SUGGEST THAT BROAD
CIRCULATION CENTER MAY BE LOCATED NEAR 14N46W...OR ABOUT 90 NMI
SOUTHWEST OF THE ADVISORY POSITION. HOWEVER...THE SSMI DATA MAY BE
DEPICTING ONE OF SEVERAL SMALL CIRCULATIONS THAT MAY BE EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE REMNANTS OF THE ITCZ...SO THE OFFICIAL POSITION WAS
BASED ON CONTUNITY WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY MOTION AND KEPT NEAR
THE SIDE OF THE STRONGEST CONVECTION.




Another words, without a definative fix they are following contunity and following the NW movement.

Quote:

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 315/08.




Notice the term...."ESTIMATE."

Anyways, TD10 is in its formative stages and it is hard, especially at night to guage the exact movements.

Use PM to assist others. Not the Board...portion of post removed.~danielw



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